Despite the negative headlines about the economy, the upcoming holiday shopping season is shaping up better than you may think. Consumer spending remains strong at brick-and-mortar stores, and along with it a revived buzz for ecommerce shopping. In fact, we’re predicting total retail holiday sales will jump 7% to $1.297 trillion.

But there will be challenges—elevated supply chain and shipping issues, inventory markdowns, and more—that will put a strain on retailers to deliver profits.

In this Meet the Analyst Webinar, Andrew Lipsman, our principal analyst, walked through our predictions and key takeaways to get you through the biggest shopping season of the year.